On March 7, 2026, Swansea.com Stadium will host a match of the 36th round of the EFL. As part of the Championship, local Swansea City will play against Stoke City.
Will the hosts be able to take revenge on the Potters for their defeat in the first round? Let’s see what our Swansea vs Stoke prediction says.
Swansea vs Stoke: What to Expect
Swansea City A.F.C.
For the fifth season in a row, the Swans are not contenders for promotion. During this period, the club has never risen above 10th place in the second tier of English football. This season, with 46 points, the team is in 16th place in the Championship table. They are 11 points away from a playoff spot and 12 points away from the relegation zone.
The team is coached by 37-year-old Vitor Matos, who has limited head-coaching experience. Recently, Swansea has been alternating between wins and losses. After a narrow victory over Bristol City, Vitor Matos’s team snatched a draw with Preston (1:1) in stoppage time, and then suffered a crushing 0:3 defeat to Ipswich Town at Portman Road.
Stoke City F.C.
Compared to Swansea, the situation for the Potters is no better. In the 2017–18 season, the club was relegated from the Premier League to the Championship. Since then (seven seasons in a row), the team has not risen above 14th place. In the current campaign, Stoke City is in 14th place in the EFL standings, one point ahead of Swansea.
The top six are 10 points away, and Mark Robins’s team is 13 points ahead of the relegation zone. In the middle of last week, the Potters ended their seven-game winless streak in the Championship, beating Oxford United by a single goal. However, the team then suffered another setback (their 14th this season), losing 2-1 to league leaders Coventry City. It is worth noting that the favorites scored the winning goal in the 90+4th minute thanks to Jack Ruddy, who has found the net in three consecutive games.
Swansea City vs Stoke City: Head-to-Head Matches
Based on results from the past three seasons, there is no clear favorite. In the first round of the 25/26 season, the Potters again took three points at home, beating Swansea 2:1. But, interestingly, none of the teams has lost at their home stadium.
| Swansea – Stoke H2H | |||
| 2025/26 Season | |||
| Stoke City | 2 | 1 | Swansea City |
| 2024/25 Season | |||
| Stoke City | 3 | 1 | Swansea City |
| Swansea City | 0 | 0 | Stoke City |
| 2023/24 Season | |||
| Swansea City | 3 | 0 | Stoke City |
| Stoke City | 1 | 1 | Swansea City |
Swansea City vs Stoke City Match Prediction
Both clubs are in the second half of the English Championship table and are almost equal in terms of wins, with 13 each. The Potters have the advantage in head-to-head matches (2 wins and 1 draw). However, Swansea has not lost at home since November.
Considering all of the above, we give the advantage to the visitors.
Swansea vs Stoke prediction: the home team will not lose
| The Match Predictions | ||
| 1 to Win (~odds at 2) | or | 1X (~odds at 1.24) |
